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You're listening to the MTG Sold Podcast. This is the week of August 10th through August 16th,

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2026.

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Hi, welcome back. Thanks for listening. Let's jump right into it.

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Last week I told you to watch the Hobbit Collector Busier display at 850 bucks when the

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listing gate opened on the 14th. It came back at about 811, down 5% on nearly 600 boxes

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and 482 grand in revenue. Still clearing about 6 times at shelf. The seller pool grew nearly

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60% and the box kept turning at a pace that hasn't slowed down since pre-release. If you

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were waiting for release day to test the premium, there's your answer.

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The whole set reprised lower. That's what happens when a listing gate opens and individual

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sellers pile in on TCG player. The bundle tripled the shelf from about 100 listings to 272,

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the draft kit, more than nearly doubled, the pre-release packed, nearly doubled, every

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Hobbit price came down, and the market didn't blink. Revenue across TCG player jumped 9%

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on the week, nearly 1.4 million dollars, because volume grew faster than prices fell.

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The pre-release pack is the clearest example. Price down about 15%, but units went from 773

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to 930, and the pack still turned over at shelf about 1.5 times in a week. Sellers flooded

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in and buyers absorbed every unit they brought. Release day itself did about 2,200 units

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and 437 grand. Nearly double any other day of the week. The non- Hobbit side of the market

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grew too, roughly 527 grand, versus 464 the week before, so this wasn't just one set

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carrying the board this week. The scene boxes kept falling, third week in

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the row, cracked the plates is down to about 49 bucks, 7 dollars above MSRP, treasures of

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smog came down to about 76, both are still turning through their shelves at about 1.5 to 2

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times a week, so people are buying, sellers aren't cutting each other, and the shelves drain

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anyway. I've been calling these two the competition

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gauge since pre-release week, and if you're watching the sets margin picture, they're

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the canary. When cracked the plates, hits MSRP, some of these sellers walk away, and whatever

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demand is underneath the crowd, reveals itself.

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Outside the set, the Marvel collector booster box lost 44% of its shelf this week. Average

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listings from about 202 to 114, price up roughly 9% to about 475 bucks, 4th straight week of

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drain, and there's no restock coming on this product. The standard Marvel tiers are flush.

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The play booster broke a thousand listings for the first time, which is the biggest pile

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in the dataset, but the premium tier is finite supply being consumed, obviously. If you've

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been watching this one, the clock is running. At the current rate, the remaining shelf has

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a few weeks before the price starts moving and jumps instead of ticks. My guess is the

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buyers here are stores cracking boxes for singles and collectors locking in sealed copies before

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the supply dries up. Either way, the math only goes one direction from here.

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The edge of attorney's commandodex set of two has drained for five straight weeks. Last

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week I said if it kept going while it set reversed, it earned its own write-up, the set reversed,

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and the return of these playbooster surged about 44%, and this product kept draining. Average

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listings from 93 to 74, the price barely moved about 75 bucks now, about 75, 5 weeks ago.

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That's steady by without chasing the ask. I don't know who's doing it or why, maybe it's

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a store working through their allocation at a fixed price, or maybe someone's figured

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out a commander's energy that makes to pair worth more than the components. Either way,

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the pattern is distinct enough now that I'm tracking it as its own story.

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A couple of things showed up for the first time. Both reality fracture displays, the playbooster

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and the collector are draining preorder supply, about six weeks ahead of the October second

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release. The playbooster is moving at about 1.3, or sub-ratio, 1.3. The collector is about

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1.1, and combined, they did roughly 65 grand on 253 units. Standard early preorder positioning,

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but if you're tracking how the market weighs the next in-universe set after the hobbit,

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keep an eye on on whether that book keeps building or flattens here.

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The Marvel Jumpstart display might be turning, supply ticked down about 5% for the first time

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in the restock streak, from about 573 to 542 listings. The price is still falling and

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sellers are still growing, so I wouldn't call it a bottom yet, but the supply stopped building,

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and that's the first step toward one. Star Trek. Last week's third watch item went quiet.

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Playbooster display barely moved. Sellers actually left, no anomaly flags, nothing new here.

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In Geography, the seller mapped flip back, Washington reclaimed the top supply state after

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California took it last week. Seattle went from about 5200 units to 6400, and the total

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seller pulled grew from 493 to 551. Three things I'm watching next week. First, the hobbit

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in week 2 of open market pricing. This week set the floor, the question is whether it holds

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when the seller pull has had a full cycle to list or whether competition keeps grinding

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it lower. If you're looking at the set's products, the GIF bundle is the one about to face

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a supply shock. It doesn't officially release until September 4th. It's at about 250 bucks

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on a 27 unit shelf, and that's Gearsy Premium should get tested when the shipment lands.

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Second, reality fracture pre-orders. Both displays above one time sell through in their first

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anomaly week. The set drops October 2nd, and how the pre-order book behaves over the next

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month tells you whether the market has an appetite for another in-universe release, this

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close to the hobbit. Third, the Marvel Collector Booster Box. The math is simple. Watch for the

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inflection. That's it. Full numbers in the article on mtgsold.com. See you next week. Goodbye.